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Example lava flow forecast map

Kilauea, United States, 2019

Figure 4 in: Neal, C. A., Brantley, S. R., Antolik, L., Babb, J. L., Burgess, M., Calles, K., ... & Damby, D. (2019). The 2018 rift eruption and summit collapse of Kīlauea Volcano. Science, 363(6425), 367-374.



This map was produced by an official agency, but is NOT the most recent, most complete, or main operational map. For the current operational hazard map, please consult the proper institutional authorities.


Click on image for full-size map.

Map Data

Map ID4242
Hazard Process(es)Lava flows
Hazard Zone PresentationSingle hazard: A single hazard process is represented on a main map panel
Temporal ScaleVery short-term crisis map (hours to days)
Spatial ScalePart of volcano (flank or drainage)
Publication FormatFigure in a journal article
Zonation Method(s)Probabilistic modeling; Scenario modeling
Zonation Model(s)DOWNFLOW (Favalli et al. 2005); Lines of Steepest Descent (Kauahikaua et al. 1995; Paleo & Trusdell 2002)
Scenario(s) ConsideredSource location or direction
Hazard Zone Label(s)Hazard process name; Qualitative relative probability (e.g. high-medium-low)
Probability Definition(s)Qualitative relative probability (e.g. high-medium-low)
PurposeCrisis management and response: Intended to be used for managing, responding to, and taking action during an eruption; often includes evacuation routes, access restrictions, actions to take, etc.
AudienceScientists (usually in scientific publication)
Language(s)English
Basemap(s)Hillshade
Basemap overlay(s)Inhabited areas; Street map
DiemsionalityPlanimetric (2D or map) view
Color SchemeDark to Light (color)
Volcanic Alert Level System
Go to Global Volcanism Program page for Kilauea →